LIVE PILOTreal engine answers · small pilot wave · wide intervals by designSynthetic probes · not real user sessions · this wave 100% L3 · answers L1 eliciteden-US · luce-live-w28

engine · gemini_native

Gemini

Gemini mentions brooks in running shoes and sony in wireless earbuds more often than any other brand it was asked about.

Engine calls60
Categories2
Prompts per cell30
01

League tables

On the rank axis, a better rank sits further left.

estimand: probe-design mention rate over Luce grammar v0.1-pilot, rank-range leagues only; not demand-weighted

Running shoes

L1 elicitedn = 30 prompt clusters
League A5 brands
  1. ranks 1-4.5brooks
    87%73-97
  2. ranks 1-6asics
    80%67-93
  3. ranks 1-7hoka
    77%63-90
  4. ranks 1-6.5new-balance
    77%60-90
  5. ranks 1-6.5saucony
    77%60-90
unranked · low precision3 brands
  1. adidas60%43-77
  2. nike67%50-83
  3. on37%20-53
02

Photo finish

How likely each brand is to actually hold the top spot.

estimand: probe-design leader credible-set read over Luce grammar v0.1-pilot; not demand-weighted

Running shoes

Gemini · 95% credible set: brooks, asics, saucony, hoka, new-balance
contested · no likely favorite
  1. brooks64% ±1.1
  2. asics16% ±0.8
  3. saucony7% ±0.6
  4. hoka7% ±0.6
  5. new-balance6% ±0.5
3 more brands in this cell hold under a one percent chance of the top spot.

Wireless earbuds

Gemini · 95% credible set: sony, bose
likely favorite · sony
  1. sony91% ±0.6
  2. bose6% ±0.5
  3. anker-soundcore3% ±0.4
4 more brands in this cell hold under a one percent chance of the top spot.